The GDP growth rate in real terms for the fourth quarter of 2025 is estimated at 4.5%, seasonally adjusted, mainly driven by wholesale, retail, information, communication, hotels, and restaurants sectors.
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate in real terms, seasonally adjusted, during the fourth quarter of 2025 is estimated at 4.5% compared to the same quarter of 2024.
The positive GDP growth is mainly attributed to the sectors: “Wholesale and Retail Trade, Repair of Motor Vehicles,” “Information and Communication,” and “Hotels and Restaurants.”
Data shows the quarterly changes: 1.4% in Q4 2025, 0.9% in Q3 2025, 0.8% in Q2 2025, and 1.3% in Q1 2025. The annual comparison indicates a 4.5% increase over the previous year.
The GDP flash estimate provides an early picture of the economy based on preliminary data, available 45 days after the quarter’s end, using less input information than the regular quarterly national accounts.
Methodology involves indirect approaches, short-term indicators, and the Chow-Lin technique for temporal disaggregation. The GDP level is determined from production and expenditure approaches, with the income approach as a residual.
Estimates are produced in accordance with ESA 2010 standards and transmitted to Eurostat. Data sources include short-term indicators, administrative data, employment figures, and price indices.
For more information, visit the CYSTAT Portal or contact Ms. Maria Constantinou at 22602226 or via email at mconstantinou@cystat.mof.gov.cy.
